Coffee Industry 2026: Global Demand, Supply Dynamics & Emerging Market Trends

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Market for Coffee 2026: Responding to the Main Search Questions
What is the situation with the global coffee market in 2026?

The global coffee market in 2026 is characterized by the combination of resilience of consumption, improvement in supply, high green-coffee prices, premiumization, cold-coffee innovations, and stricter sustainability requirements. According to the International Coffee Organization, global coffee consumption reached 175.1 million 60-kg bags during coffee year 2024/25, increasing by 1.4% compared to 2023/24. In particular, Asia and Oceania were the regions with the most dynamic consumption growth – 47.4 million bags increased by 7.4%.

There are also changes in the supply sector. According to the latest information from USDA, global coffee production in 2025/26 is estimated at about 179 million 60-kg bags, with Brazil producing 63 million bags, Vietnam – 31.7 million, Colombia – 12.5 million, Indonesia – 12.37 million and Ethiopia – 11.56 million.

What is the size of the global coffee market in 2026?

Main organizations like the ICO, FAO and USDA provide statistics on production, consumption, exports, imports and commodity prices instead of a single number for the “coffee market” defined as global retail revenues. 

How much coffee is consumed worldwide?

The ICO estimates that world coffee consumption will be 175.1 million bags in 2024/25, growing 1.4% year-on-year. The volume of coffee consumption in producing countries grew to 57.7 million from 56.3 million bags, whereas Asia and Oceania have been seen as the regions with the highest rate of growth in the annual ICO survey.

Market expansion can also occur due to the demand from emerging economies and higher interest in specialty coffee and product innovation in the future, according to FAO.

Which countries are the biggest producers of coffee?

The leader in coffee production remains Brazil. Based on USDA's data for 2025/26, Brazil produces approximately 63 million bags, accounting for 35.2% of worldwide production. Vietnam produces 31.7 million bags, while Colombia, Indonesia and Ethiopia are also key producers. India produces 6.43 million bags, or 3.6% of global production in USDA's data.

The forecast for Brazil's production is especially important for 2026. According to a USDA Foreign Agricultural Service report of 2026, Brazil's production in 2026/27 will amount to 71.9 million bags, up 14% from its 2025/26 estimate, driven by the favourable part of the biennial production cycle, weather conditions and increased acreage.

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